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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | No | 400 | $0.340 | $142 | +$6 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | 8d ago |
 |
| No |
| 140.94 |
| $0.419 |
| $131.78 |
| +$72.68 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | Yes | 240 | $0.495 | $85.2 | -$33.6 |
| Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by September 30, 2026? | No | 130 | $0.676 | $82.55 | -$5.29 |
 Will League of Legends Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award? | Yes | 100 | $0.690 | $62.5 | -$6.5 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 727.39 | $0.088 | $60.74 | -$3.66 |
 Will Ahmed Galadima win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election? | Yes | 99.99 | $0.680 | $60.49 | -$7.5 |
 Will Erwin Wiens win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election? | Yes | 100 | $0.560 | $50 | -$6 |
 Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%? | No | 100 | $0.530 | $47.5 | -$5.5 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 100 | $0.540 | $44.5 | -$9.5 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026? | No | 40 | $0.185 | $28.2 | +$20.8 |
 Will NightBirds Win Hitpoint Masters 2026 Summer | No | 100 | $0.420 | $25.5 | -$16.5 |
 Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election? | No | 100 | $0.280 | $19 | -$9 |
 Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.380 | $15.25 | -$3.75 |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? | Yes | 100 | $0.350 | $11.95 | -$23.05 |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | Yes | 113.13 | $0.193 | $10.18 | -$11.68 |
 Will Masao Uchibori win the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial election? | No | 228.72 | $0.092 | $9.15 | -$11.86 |
 Will Mara Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election? | No | 13.84 | $0.560 | $9.07 | +$1.31 |
 Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? | No | 9.75 | $0.780 | $8.34 | +$0.73 |
 Will Martin Ross win the 2026 Markham mayoral election? | Yes | 100 | $0.070 | $4.35 | -$2.65 |
| Will Thug Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award? | Yes | 11 | $0.510 | $4.07 | -$1.54 |
 Will Jorge Viana win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election? | Yes | 41.67 | $0.066 | $4.02 | +$1.27 |
| Will Meavedron Win Hitpoint Masters 2026 Summer | Yes | 100 | $0.010 | $3.3 | +$2.3 |
 Tuyo FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 4.87 | $0.680 | $2.8 | -$0.51 |
 Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | Yes | 14.87 | $0.330 | $2.43 | -$2.48 |
| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.250 |
| $25.01 |
| 8d ago |
 Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.138 | $20.75 | 10d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 20.94 | $0.320 | $6.7 | 11d ago |
 Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.320 | $32 | 11d ago |
 Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?Yes | buy | 19.53 | $0.512 | $10 | 11d ago |
| Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | 11d ago |
| Will Martin Ross win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | 11d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.370 | $7.4 | 11d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 210 | $0.880 | $184.8 | 12d ago |
 Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.019 | $3.8 | 12d ago |
 Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 5–10%?No | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | 12d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 15–20%?No | sell | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | 12d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 25–30%?No | sell | 71.43 | $0.999 | $71.36 | 12d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by at least 30%?No | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | 12d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.034 | $0.85 | 12d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.083 | $8.3 | 12d ago |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.031 | $3.1 | 12d ago |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.018 | $1.8 | 12d ago |
 Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | 12d ago |
| Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.038 | $0.76 | 12d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.900 | $180 | 13d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.910 | $182 | 13d ago |
| Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?No | buy | 68.64 | $0.947 | $65 | 13d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 32.65 | $0.008 | $0.26 | 13d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 5–10%?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.027 | $1.35 | 14d ago |
| Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.380 | $7.6 | 14d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by less than 5%?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.270 | $27 | 14d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by less than 5%?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.280 | $22.4 | 14d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 20–25%?No | sell | 200 | $0.973 | $194.64 | 14d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win Richland County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | 14d ago |
 Will Meta have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.012 | $0.17 | 15d ago |
 Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Yes | sell | 84.71 | $0.770 | $65.23 | 15d ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.360 | $7.2 | 16d ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.380 | $7.6 | 16d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.303 | $30.3 | 16d ago |
| Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.470 | $4.7 | 16d ago |
| Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.540 | $21.6 | 16d ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.480 | $48 | 16d ago |
 Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 499.99 | $0.140 | $70 | 16d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 239.79 | $0.258 | $61.95 | 17d ago |
| Will Jorge Viana win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.066 | $2.75 | 17d ago |
| Will Mara Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.420 | $21 | 17d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.170 | $17 | 17d ago |
 Will Weverton Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?No | buy | 20 | $0.630 | $12.6 | 18d ago |
 Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 44.64 | $0.560 | $25 | 18d ago |
 Will Dr. Fernando Máximo win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | 19d ago |
| Will Dr. Fernando Máximo win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?Yes | buy | 14.89 | $0.470 | $7 | 19d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat Rocket League within 6 hours?No | buy | 45 | $0.960 | $43.2 | 19d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours?No | buy | 20 | $0.710 | $14.2 | 19d ago |