Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by September 30? | No | 200 | $0.730 | $186.2 | +$40.2 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | 6d ago |
 |
| No |
| 160 |
| $0.774 |
| $146.4 |
| +$22.6 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? | No | 100.01 | $0.960 | $97.31 | +$1.3 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 100 | $0.800 | $92 | +$12 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat? | No | 100 | $0.860 | $84 | -$2 |
 Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | Yes | 100 | $0.720 | $75.5 | +$3.5 |
 Will the Republican Party win the CA-45 House seat? | No | 80 | $0.890 | $73.2 | +$2 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 50 | $0.770 | $41.25 | +$2.75 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.370 | $39.5 | +$2.5 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 40 | $0.870 | $34.8 | $0 |
 Will Unitree be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | No | 40 | $0.870 | $34.6 | -$0.2 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.720 | $34.25 | -$1.75 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.270 | $26.5 | -$0.5 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 14.71 | $0.680 | $13.31 | +$3.31 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 18.18 | $0.550 | $12.73 | +$2.73 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 16.95 | $0.590 | $7.54 | -$2.46 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 105 | $0.016 | $2.57 | +$0.89 |
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.770 |
| $38.5 |
| 6d ago |
| Will Unitree be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 40 | $0.870 | $34.8 | 6d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 80 | $0.310 | $24.8 | 8d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | 8d ago |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 0.13 | $0.370 | $0.05 | 9d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.780 | $117 | 9d ago |
 Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.150 | $15 | 16d ago |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.720 | $72 | 16d ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?No | buy | 80 | $0.450 | $36 | 16d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 80 | $0.440 | $35.2 | 16d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 12.72 | $0.270 | $3.43 | 19d ago |
| Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by September 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.730 | $146 | 19d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat?No | buy | 100 | $0.860 | $86 | 20d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | 20d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-45 House seat?No | buy | 80 | $0.890 | $71.2 | 20d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.720 | $36 | 20d ago |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | 23d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 130 | $0.770 | $100.1 | 23d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.190 | $19 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.190 | $19 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.138 | $3.45 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 38.88 | $0.270 | $10.5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.960 | $96 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.016 | $1.68 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?No | sell | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.960 | $9.6 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Yes | sell | 106.25 | $0.013 | $1.38 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?No | sell | 10.2 | $0.950 | $9.69 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Yes | buy | 106.25 | $0.016 | $1.7 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?No | buy | 10.21 | $0.960 | $9.8 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 88.82 | $0.225 | $20 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 15.96 | $0.940 | $15 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Jul 21, 2026 |