Analytics
Yes is at 26.5%, about where the market opened on 9 Sep 2026.
The high was 29.5% on 6 Oct 2026 and the low 10.5% on 24 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 10.5%. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 12% on 18 Sep 2026.
3 ranks second of the 5 outcomes in “How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?”. 0 leads at 32.5%; 2 is at 19.5%.
$468.72 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.16K since listing. The order book holds $917.46, with a 19.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 111 trades, $150.1 bought Yes and $1.05K bought No.
The largest Yes position is AiBird with 285 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 605. Ten wallets hold 89.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 28 Oct 2026, 17 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 9, 5:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 31 points · 9 Sep 2026 – 8 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Sep 2026 | 27.0% |
| 8 Oct 2026 | 22.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 604.86 |
| AiBird | Yes | 285.1 |
| AJSV | Yes | 180.21 |
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-dissent-at-the-october-fed-meeting
| thursdays |
| Yes |
| 123.79 |
| macrosteaks | No | 110.84 |
| 3iron | Yes | 86.67 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 84.43 |
| gfdgfvfvssdd | No | 40.84 |
| liq2 | Yes | 40 |
| Debosnys | No | 40 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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