Analytics
Trading ended on 28 Oct 2026 with Yes at 13.5%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 46 daily closes on record from 9 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 19.5% on 15 Sep 2026 and the lowest 4.9% on 9 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.9%; a month before, 7%. Its largest one-day move was 7.2 points down, to 4.9% on 21 Oct 2026.
4+ ranks fifth of the 5 outcomes in “How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?”. 2 leads at 36%; 3 is at 23%.
$2.95K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is Fair-Tan with 373 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 999. Ten wallets hold 84.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 28, 5:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 46 points, 9 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Sep 2026 | 17.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 12.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 998.76 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 373.47 |
| 0xdc3E831cad | No | 281.53 |
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-dissent-at-the-october-fed-meeting
| xtxpleasecallme |
| Yes |
| 257.16 |
| GenaTheBondKilIer | Yes | 253.73 |
| thoodr | No | 210.79 |
| thursdays | Yes | 123.79 |
| Phony-Shadow | Yes | 102.61 |
| liq2 | Yes | 100 |
| Ainocry. | Yes | 64.6 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
