Analytics
Yes is at 17.5%, down 4.5 points from 22% when the market opened on 9 Sep 2026.
The high was 24.5% on 5 Oct 2026 and the low 9% on 20 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 15.5%; a month ago, 22%. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 10% on 18 Sep 2026.
2 ranks fourth of the 5 outcomes in “How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?”. 0 leads at 31.5%; 1 is at 20.5%.
$105 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.92K since listing. The order book holds $4.17K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 76 trades, $73.91 bought Yes and $922.14 bought No.
The largest Yes position is AiBird with 595 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 615.
Trading closes on 28 Oct 2026, 18 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 11, 3:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 34 points · 9 Sep 2026 – 11 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 5%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Sep 2026 | 22.0% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | 17.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 614.86 |
| AiBird | Yes | 594.99 |
| macrosteaks | No | 248 |
The October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on October 28, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the October Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27 to 28, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-dissent-at-the-october-fed-meeting
| thursdays |
| Yes |
| 123.79 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 101.16 |
| liq2 | Yes | 40 |
| Haradwaith | No | 30.09 |
| haouibao | Yes | 20 |
| AJSV | Yes | 20 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No | 13.43 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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