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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Russia enter Toretske by January 31?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.1 |
| $0.910 |
| $1 |
| Jan 17, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.971 | $2 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.987 | $2 | Oct 20, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.994 | $2 | Oct 20, 2025 |
Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Oct 1, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.985 | $2 | Oct 1, 2025 |
James Comey indicted before October?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.936 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
@nubcat unsuspended from X by September 30?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
PartyDAO airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Base airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Rabby airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Jumper airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Will Gavin Newsom launch a token in September?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by August 31?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Will Drake donate to MrBeast's Team Water by August 22?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Israel x Syria security deal before September?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Will Libre win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Israel strikes Iran before September?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Aug 16, 2025 |
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Aug 16, 2025 |
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?No | buy | 1.84 | $0.543 | $1 | Aug 16, 2025 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Jul 13, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.953 | $1 | Jul 13, 2025 |
MetaMask airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Jul 13, 2025 |
Rainbow airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jul 13, 2025 |
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jul 13, 2025 |
Will Elon visit the Western Wall before August?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Jul 13, 2025 |
Will GameStop buy more Bitcoin before August?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jul 13, 2025 |
OpenAI browser in July?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jul 13, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jul 13, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down on July 11?Up | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11?Up | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Will LDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Will TikTok be banned before July?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
DeepSeek banned in US before July?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
Will Amazon buy Lyft before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
DeepSeek V4 released before July?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
Will NVDA purchase Bitcoin before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
Will TikTok be banned before July?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
DeepSeek R2 released before July?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.892 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |