Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 16% on 28 May 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 3 Jun 2025 and the low 0.3% on 27 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 45 points down, to 5% on 7 Jun 2025. $5.96K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 8:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 127 points · 28 May 2025 – 1 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 May 2025 | 16.0% |
| 1 Oct 2025 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bite-Sized-Airbag | Yes | 358.22 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 132.97 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 116.95 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named entity launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between July 1, 12:00 AM and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the named entity's team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/airdrops-in-q3-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 20 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 14 |
| wudage | No | 1.05 |
| 0xq0lt | No | 0.04 |
| dexir | No | 0.03 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 0.01 |
