Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 27.5% on 13 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 13 Aug 2025 to 1 Sep 2025, the highest close was 51.5% on 17 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.9% on 1 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 29.5% on 18 Aug 2025. $8.21K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 26, 1:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 13 Aug 2025 – 1 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2025 | 27.5% |
| 1 Sep 2025 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| faith14921 | Yes | 1.18K |
| MonthlySubs | Yes | 190 |
| ThePureGenius | Yes | 135.89 |
| GT86Funds | Yes | 53.79 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk (@elonmusk) changes his X profile picture by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's X account: https://x.com/elonmusk For an example of what Elon Musk's X pfp was at the time of this market's inception, see this link: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elonmuskpfpaugust.png
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-elon-musk-change-his-x-profile-picture-by-august-31
| roxzor | Yes | 35.71 |
| grandchevon | Yes | 20 |
| fbjdskbfj3124 | Yes | 19.23 |
| lissartter | Yes | 13.06 |
| S888 | Yes | 10.99 |
| Overcooked-Gauntlet | Yes | 10.2 |
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