Will Libre win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?

Resolved

No, settled Aug 20, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$17.8K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 20, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 20 Aug 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 25% on 26 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 26 daily closes on record from 26 Jul 2025 to 20 Aug 2025, the highest close was 76.5% on 18 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 20 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 75 points down, to 1.5% on 19 Aug 2025. $17.75K traded over the market's life.

43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 4:47 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 26 Jul 2025 – 20 Aug 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
26 Jul 2025	25.0%
20 Aug 2025	0.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	5.14K
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	1.92K
asdfgo	Yes	1.16K

10 of 43 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

General elections are scheduled to take place in Bolivia on 17 August 2025. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Senate of Bolivia. If voting in the next Bolivia Senate election does not occur by January 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).