Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.120 | $72 | Nov 10, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 600 |
| $0.250 |
| $150 |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.054 | $8.04 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump resign in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.045 | $4.48 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Yes | buy | 41.86 | $0.050 | $2.07 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Trump removed via 25th Amendment in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek be #1 model before July?Yes | sell | 2.54K | $0.002 | $5.19 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?Yes | sell | 11.36 | $0.860 | $9.77 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?Yes | sell | 175.43 | $0.600 | $105.26 | Mar 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.610 | $42.7 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 582.43 | $0.250 | $145.61 | Mar 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 353.73 | $0.170 | $60.13 | Feb 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 72.45 | $0.170 | $12.32 | Feb 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?Yes | buy | 133.53 | $0.480 | $64.09 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?Yes | buy | 123.26 | $0.480 | $59.16 | Feb 1, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | sell | 770 | $0.110 | $84.7 | Feb 1, 2025 |
 Bird flu pandemic before August 2025?Yes | sell | 347.94 | $0.110 | $38.27 | Feb 1, 2025 |
 Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March?Yes | buy | 572.45 | $0.900 | $514.92 | Feb 1, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | buy | 770 | $0.130 | $100.1 | Jan 30, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek be #1 model before July?Yes | buy | 404 | $0.280 | $113.12 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek be #1 model before July?Yes | buy | 1.24K | $0.270 | $334.8 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek be #1 model before July?Yes | buy | 897 | $0.260 | $233.22 | Jan 29, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on January 31?No | sell | 380 | $0.015 | $5.7 | Jan 29, 2025 |
 Trump cabinet nominee withdrawn in January?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.131 | $13.1 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Will another model be the top AI model on January 31?Yes | buy | 460 | $0.022 | $9.9 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?No | sell | 445.28 | $0.430 | $191.47 | Jan 27, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on January 31?No | buy | 380 | $0.053 | $20.15 | Jan 25, 2025 |
| Will another model be the top AI model on January 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.048 | $47.98 | Jan 25, 2025 |
| Trump cabinet nominee withdrawn in January?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.104 | $10.43 | Jan 25, 2025 |
 Will Perplexity AI buy TikTok?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.060 | $18 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Trump cryptocurrency executive order on Day 1?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.058 | $5.82 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic Party before March?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.099 | $39.6 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic Party before March?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Trump cryptocurrency executive order on Day 1?Yes | buy | 405.34 | $0.247 | $100 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.320 | $50 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Trump cryptocurrency executive order on Day 1?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.350 | $50 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 612 | $0.992 | $607.1 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Bird flu pandemic before August 2025?Yes | buy | 347.94 | $0.167 | $58.15 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?Yes | buy | 188.45 | $0.106 | $20 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Will Biden pardon Fauci?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Will Biden pardon Ross Ulbricht?No | sell | 101.88 | $0.963 | $98.15 | Jan 1, 2025 |
| Will Biden pardon Ross Ulbricht?No | buy | 101.89 | $0.917 | $93.43 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?Yes | buy | 176.93 | $0.283 | $50 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Will Biden pardon Fauci?Yes | buy | 151.52 | $0.330 | $50 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?Yes | sell | 2.05K | $0.094 | $193.43 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?Yes | buy | 2.05K | $0.134 | $274.52 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?No | sell | 293.9 | $0.442 | $130.04 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Luigi Mangione manifesto released by Friday?Yes | buy | 141.67 | $0.915 | $129.63 | Dec 11, 2024 |