Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 39% on 15 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 15 Jan 2025 to 1 Feb 2025, the highest close was 39% on 15 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 14% on 16 Jan 2025. $39.74K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 5:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 15 Jan 2025 – 1 Feb 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2025 | 39.0% |
| 1 Feb 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| vision3370 | Yes | 100 |
| 347temp | Yes | 39.8 |
| NLo | Yes | 6.67 |
| jimtimjimtim | Yes | 6.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one individual nominated by Donald Trump for a cabinet-level position requiring Senate confirmation is withdrawn between January 1, ET and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A Cabinet position is defined as any of the heads of the 15 executive departments or a role formally designated as Cabinet-level by the President. Advisory roles will not qualify for this market. Any individual who Trump has announced an intention to nominate will be considered nominated. Similarly, announcements from the nominee or Trump or one of his representatives that the nominee will be withdrawn will qualify for this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-cabinet-nominee-withdrawn-in-january
| vveranddnis | No | 0.02 |
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