Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 5.9% on 22 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 39 daily closes on record from 22 Jan 2025 to 1 Mar 2025, the highest close was 5.9% on 22 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Mar 2025. $1.03M traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 1, 10:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 22 Jan 2025 – 1 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jan 2025 | 5.9% |
| 1 Mar 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| doomcat4208 | Yes | 2.78K |
| ArthurGreen | Yes | 769.23 |
| ariaor | Yes | 480.95 |
| SanJay | Yes | 398.32 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Fetterman leaves the Democratic Party by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes switching to the Republican Party, registering as an Independent, or affiliating with any other political party. An official announcement from Fetterman stating that he is leaving the Democratic Party or will no longer caucus with the Democrats will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect. The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from John Fetterman or a change in his registration in government records. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-john-fetterman-leave-the-democratic-party-before-march
| ElJefe362 | Yes | 384.62 |
| Mitfliedsname12 | Yes | 250 |
| stanleywallet | Yes | 190 |
| TlNSdoGgcR | Yes | 134 |
| gophario | Yes | 39.22 |
| Inorite | Yes | 29.41 |
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