Analytics
IbnKhaldun has made $11.75K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-13 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 2.7K | $0.810 | $2.55K | +$363.5 |
 |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| politics | $0 | $0 | 1 | 1 | 0.0% | $483 |
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-13 05:30 UTC
Polymarket public position response
48 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 07:46 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 07:46 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $45.05K and losing ones cost $33.9K across the latest 50 settled positions. 64% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $6.73K on “US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?” (Yes); the largest loss, $10.31K on “Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?” (No).
It has traded 365 markets. Its open positions are worth $6.82K across 48 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 533.33 |
| $0.750 |
| $512 |
| +$112 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | No | 400.01 | $0.890 | $352.01 | -$4 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.640 | $314 | +$58 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10K | $0.110 | $310 | -$790 |
 Israeli election results in a hung parliament? | Yes | 518.5 | $0.317 | $259.25 | +$94.98 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 263.98 | $0.871 | $238.9 | +$8.9 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 240 | $0.840 | $224.4 | +$22.8 |
 Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 2K | $0.137 | $209.89 | -$63.96 |
| Will AI solve the Collatz conjecture in 2026? | No | 200 | $0.710 | $185 | +$43 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | No | 200 | $0.830 | $169 | +$3 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 178.57 | $0.560 | $154.46 | +$54.46 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | 145.76 | $0.686 | $131.91 | +$31.91 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes | 200 | $0.700 | $121 | -$19 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 257.46 | $0.511 | $117.27 | -$14.36 |
| Will AI determine the Ramsey number R(5,5) in 2026? | No | 133.33 | $0.750 | $109.33 | +$9.33 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | No | 109.99 | $0.760 | $92.94 | +$9.35 |
 Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026? | Up | 100 | $0.850 | $91.5 | +$6.5 |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.400 | $80 | +$40 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 400 | $0.170 | $61.4 | -$6.5 |
| Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 500 | $0.160 | $57.5 | -$22.5 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 65.32 | $0.570 | $56.83 | +$19.6 |
 Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.950 | $48.83 | +$1.33 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 313.97 | $0.345 | $48.67 | -$59.55 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.430 | $37.5 | -$5.5 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
