Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.6K | $0.127 | $644.99 | -$444.99 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.012 | $0.78 | 3h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 10K |
| $0.110 |
| $550 |
| -$550 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 600 | $0.640 | $399 | +$15 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 240 | $0.840 | $210 | +$8.4 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 178.57 | $0.560 | $161.61 | +$61.61 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | No | 200 | $0.830 | $159 | -$7 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | 145.76 | $0.686 | $129.73 | +$29.73 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | No | 114.94 | $0.870 | $114.2 | +$14.2 |
 Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026? | Up | 100 | $0.850 | $91 | +$6 |
 Will Israel election happen as scheduled? | Yes | 100 | $0.910 | $90.6 | -$0.4 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 197.46 | $0.503 | $87.28 | -$12.02 |
 Israeli election results in a hung parliament? | Yes | 218.5 | $0.285 | $79.75 | +$17.48 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | No | 109.99 | $0.760 | $74.24 | -$9.35 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 400 | $0.170 | $61 | -$6.9 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 313.97 | $0.345 | $48.67 | -$59.55 |
 Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.950 | $48.6 | +$1.1 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 65.32 | $0.570 | $47.68 | +$10.45 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 603.96 | $0.166 | $39.26 | -$60.74 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 34.09 | $0.880 | $29.83 | -$0.17 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | Yes | 289.28 | $0.287 | $28.35 | -$54.65 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 189.58 | $0.316 | $27.49 | -$32.51 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 66.67 | $0.300 | $25.67 | +$5.67 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.360 | $25.5 | -$10.5 |
 Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | Yes | 23.53 | $0.425 | $20.32 | +$10.32 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 74.07 | $0.270 | $18.15 | -$1.85 |
| buy |
| 52.11 |
| $0.493 |
| $25.69 |
| 3d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 600 | $0.640 | $384 | 3d ago |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.120 | $4 | 4d ago |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 97.47 | $0.513 | $50 | 5d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.41 | $0.870 | $3.84 | 6d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.300 | $20 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 74.07 | $0.270 | $20 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.830 | $33.2 | 7d ago |
 Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 11.12K | $0.002 | $22.24 | 8d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | buy | 65.32 | $0.570 | $37.23 | 16d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.070 | $1.33 | 26d ago |
| Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.910 | $91 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?No | buy | 200 | $0.060 | $12 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?No | buy | 30 | $0.110 | $3.3 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?No | buy | 32 | $0.130 | $4.16 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | buy | 200 | $0.290 | $58 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?No | buy | 300 | $0.130 | $39 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.537 | $5.37 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by July 17?No | buy | 60.01 | $0.357 | $21.42 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 17?No | buy | 99.99 | $0.357 | $35.7 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?No | buy | 52.77 | $0.061 | $3.2 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 17?No | buy | 15.19 | $0.099 | $1.5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.416 | $83.2 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.5 | $0.150 | $1.43 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.780 | $78 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 17?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.952 | $9.52 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.950 | $47.5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.340 | $6.8 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.962 | $96.2 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.5 | $0.900 | $8.55 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?No | sell | 279.14 | $0.992 | $276.82 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.896 | $26.88 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.038 | $1.9 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.948 | $94.8 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?No | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.920 | $27.6 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.920 | $27.6 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 238.51 | $0.370 | $88.25 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 95.21 | $0.910 | $86.64 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?No | buy | 100 | $0.936 | $93.6 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 210.53 | $0.950 | $200 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 400 | $0.920 | $368 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 217.59 | $0.740 | $161.02 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?No | sell | 158.99 | $0.979 | $155.65 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.008 | $1.04 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.730 | $584 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?No | buy | 59.77 | $0.680 | $40.64 | Jul 10, 2026 |