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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 10.6K | $0.825 | $8.96K | +$209.01 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.630 | $630 | 5d ago |
 |
| No |
| 3.4K |
| $0.905 |
| $3.15K |
| +$69 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 10.5K | $0.848 | $2.05K | -$6.86K |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 1.91K | $0.920 | $1.83K | +$66 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 2K | $0.830 | $1.7K | +$40 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 1.7K | $0.840 | $1.62K | +$195.5 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 1.8K | $0.617 | $1.54K | +$427.82 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | No | 1.25K | $0.940 | $1.22K | +$46.25 |
 Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 1K | $0.918 | $971.5 | +$53.9 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1K | $0.640 | $795 | +$155 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 1K | $0.630 | $585 | -$45 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 300.01 | $0.380 | $247.51 | +$133.5 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.17K | $0.230 | $227.85 | -$271.25 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 180.04 | $0.880 | $169.51 | +$11.09 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | No | 383.33 | $0.100 | $7.86 | -$30.47 |
| buy |
| 994.91 |
| $0.940 |
| $935.22 |
| 12d ago |
 Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?No | buy | 284 | $0.978 | $277.67 | 14d ago |
| Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?No | buy | 2K | $0.977 | $1.95K | 14d ago |
| Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?No | buy | 240 | $0.971 | $232.92 | 14d ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 175 | $0.610 | $106.75 | 15d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 327.36 | $0.955 | $312.62 | 20d ago |
 Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.995 | $99.5 | 20d ago |
 Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.990 | $1.98K | 25d ago |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.988 | $1.98K | 25d ago |
| Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.3K | $0.993 | $2.28K | 25d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 232.1 | $0.370 | $85.81 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.49K | $0.230 | $343.5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.015 | $15 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 5.02K | $0.997 | $5K | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.8 | $0.971 | $22.14 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 3K | $0.997 | $2.99K | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 1K | $0.918 | $917.6 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 531.48 | $0.600 | $318.89 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 189.23 | $0.990 | $187.34 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | buy | 39.45 | $0.930 | $36.69 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No | buy | 1K | $0.891 | $890.8 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.023 | $26.24 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.069 | $98.67 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.887 | $1.33K | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.095 | $10 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.830 | $1.16K | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 246.35 | $0.998 | $245.86 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.870 | $1.31K | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 312.91 | $0.640 | $200.26 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.230 | $230 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Yes | buy | 15.95 | $0.160 | $2.55 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No | sell | 354.84 | $0.851 | $301.86 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 702.68 | $0.820 | $576.2 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.950 | $973.37 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No | buy | 250 | $0.440 | $110 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?No | sell | 883.33 | $0.004 | $3.53 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.998 | $1K | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.550 | $110 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1K | $0.848 | $848.48 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 911.17 | $0.823 | $750 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?No | buy | 133.33 | $0.300 | $40 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.31K | $0.948 | $1.24K | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.905 | $904.95 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | buy | 2.02K | $0.990 | $2K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 17.01K | $0.147 | $2.5K | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 418.26 | $0.971 | $406.13 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.835 | $835 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.63K | $0.883 | $3.2K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 327 | $0.850 | $277.95 | Jun 14, 2026 |