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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | No | 9.26 | $0.540 | $7.73 | +$2.73 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Yes | sell | 6.67 | $0.110 | $0.73 | May 23, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 5.56 |
| $0.900 |
| $4.48 |
| -$0.52 |
 Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026? | Yes | 4.64 | $0.108 | $3.86 | +$3.36 |
| Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026? | Yes | 41.31 | $0.024 | $2.54 | +$1.54 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? | No | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1.61 | +$0.61 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
 Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | No | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.96 | $0.510 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | Yes | 2.86 | $0.350 | $0.31 | -$0.69 |
 Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? | Yes | 3.85 | $0.520 | $0.31 | -$1.69 |
 Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 1.96 | $0.510 | $0.16 | -$0.84 |
| buy |
| 9.09 |
| $0.550 |
| $5 |
| May 22, 2026 |
 Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Tesla deliver between 325000 and 350000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes | buy | 30.17 | $0.033 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.015 | $0.17 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Yes | sell | 10.92 | $0.031 | $0.34 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.992 | $1.24 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Yes | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.310 | $1.07 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Yes | sell | 5.07 | $0.490 | $2.48 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.56 | $0.281 | $0.72 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?Yes | buy | 41.31 | $0.024 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by March 31?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.118 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by March 31?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by March 31?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by March 31?Yes | sell | 2.43 | $0.220 | $0.53 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 19?Up | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Yes | sell | 4.62 | $0.490 | $2.26 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?Up | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Tarique Rahman be the next Prime Minister of Bangladesh after the Parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 1.51 | $0.975 | $1.47 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 13?Up | sell | 1.96 | $0.999 | $1.96 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 13?Up | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.410 | $1.95 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.050 | $0.29 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Tarique Rahman be the next Prime Minister of Bangladesh after the Parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Khamenei public appearance by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | Feb 9, 2026 |