Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.3%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 20 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 20 Mar 2026 to 12 Apr 2026 (13 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98.3% on 12 Apr 2026 and the lowest 12.5% on 27 Mar 2026. $720.86K traded over the market's life.
126 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 15, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 20 Mar 2026 – 12 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Mar 2026 | 15.5% |
| 12 Apr 2026 | 98.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 283.82K |
| evoi9 | No | 27.82K |
| Niles | No | 5K |
| urwaffle2828 | No | 4.94K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 29 - April 16, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-fide-candidates-tournament-winner
New to prediction markets?
| Glum-Ligand | No | 4.78K |
| wegftAEWRFased | No | 4.4K |
| readyplayer6 | No | 4K |
| H00GS | No | 2.45K |
| Jade Atlas 071F | No | 2.23K |
| policestici | No | 2K |
