Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.069 | $3.85 | -$3.05 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 3.3 | $0.630 | $2.08 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 16.83 |
| $0.297 |
| $2.36 |
| -$2.64 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 6.38 | $0.470 | $0.41 | -$2.59 |
| buy |
| 31.25 |
| $0.480 |
| $15 |
| Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 4.98 | $0.400 | $1.99 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.760 | $15.2 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.069 | $6.9 | May 11, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.986 | $4.93 | May 11, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | May 11, 2026 |
 Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on May 6?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on May 5?Yes | buy | 3.51 | $0.854 | $3 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 4?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | May 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 28.21 | $0.390 | $11 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.69 | $0.640 | $3 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.38 | $0.470 | $3 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 13.64 | $0.220 | $3 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.170 | $3 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.84 | $0.620 | $3 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.720 | $3 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.368 | $2 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 15.5 | $0.129 | $2 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.224 | $2 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 8?Yes | buy | 42.71 | $0.023 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Maduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 30.86 | $0.810 | $25 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Yes | buy | 16.83 | $0.297 | $5 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Panick in the White HouseNo | sell | 1.14 | $0.962 | $1.1 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.210 | $1.23 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Energy" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?Yes | sell | 2.53 | $0.870 | $2.2 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?No | sell | 4.16 | $0.977 | $4.06 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "AI" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?No | buy | 5.36 | $0.560 | $3 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "President Xi" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Energy" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Russia" or "China" 4+ times during C5+1 Summit on November 6?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 4+ times during C5+1 Summit on November 6?No | buy | 4 | $0.750 | $3 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Asia" or "Asian" 8+ times during C5+1 Summit on November 6?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.660 | $3 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during C5+1 Summit on November 6?No | buy | 5.77 | $0.520 | $3 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?No | buy | 8.66 | $0.578 | $5 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Panick in the White HouseNo | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by November 30?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?No | sell | 28.98 | $0.520 | $15.07 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?No | buy | 4.16 | $0.721 | $3 | Oct 30, 2025 |