Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 15% on 17 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 78 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 35.4% on 23 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 13.2% on 31 Dec 2025. $622.78K traded over the market's life.
433 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 78 points, 17 Oct 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2025 | 15.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 164.44K |
| FTX2.0 | Yes | 16.86K |
| 1977S | Yes | 10.45K |
This market will resolve based on the price of the COMEX Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) as of the final market close price in 2025. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be COMEX trading data for the Gold Continuous Contract (https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GCW00:COMEX).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-gold-close-at-in-2025-4000-5000
| Yes |
| 5K |
| Fartard | Yes | 4.57K |
| kilimanjaro | Yes | 3.55K |
| Piligrimus | Yes | 2.55K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 2.5K |
| Syrianbutterfly | Yes | 2.33K |
| Kvahus1 | Yes | 1.88K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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