Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 2 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 2 Dec 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 25.5% on 2 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 7.5% on 8 Dec 2025. $34.67K traded over the market's life.
57 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 2 Dec 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Dec 2025 | 25.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rowdy-Leaver | Yes | 3.76K |
| Caterpillar777d | Yes | 701.58 |
| Bozo.e.dukaralho | Yes | 700 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 525 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Nicolás Maduro has left Venezuela for any length of time between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Maduro may have exited Venezuelan airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Venezuela for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Maduro exits Venezuela maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Maduro left Venezuela, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/maduro-leaves-venezuela-by-december-31
| L0bster | Yes | 490 |
| 26lkkdasdsa | Yes | 377.39 |
| TTT999 | Yes | 337.08 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 271 |
| Veltoss | Yes | 253.24 |
| freschafresh | Yes | 201.14 |
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