Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 16% on 5 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 59 daily closes on record from 5 Nov 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 17.5% on 6 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 31 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 8.5% on 7 Nov 2025. $64.12K traded over the market's life.
55 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 59 points, 5 Nov 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Nov 2025 | 16.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SirDudu | Yes | 3.01K |
| r4fdhvj4nv | Yes | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 538.98 |
| account154 | Yes | 454 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET: - Trump says Fuck, Fucking, or Fucked - House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution - Trump declares another national emergency Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Panick+in+the+White+House.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/panick-in-the-white-house
| kandinsky | Yes | 439.7 |
| Cold-Discrepancy | Yes | 280 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 247 |
| ghost345678910 | Yes | 200 |
| Vinc22 | Yes | 197.16 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 147.98 |
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