Analytics
frosique1 is down $3.91K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 2.45K | $0.825 | $2.31K | +$292.32 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| politics | $0 | $0 | 5 | 4 | 0.0% | $115.82 |
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | buy | 100 | $0.994 | $99.4 | 3h ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 11:38 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 08:49 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 08:49 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 11:38 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $6.72K and losing ones cost $14.98K across the latest 50 settled positions. 62% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $631.45 on “Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?” (No); the largest loss, $4.68K on “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?” (No).
It has traded 682 markets. Its open positions are worth $19.07K across 130 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 1.85K |
| $0.890 |
| $1.71K |
| +$65.07 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 1.39K | $0.959 | $1.33K | -$4.7 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 1.22K | $0.881 | $1.11K | +$41.81 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 987.5 | $0.881 | $903.56 | +$33.61 |
 Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%? | Yes | 729.12 | $0.776 | $720.37 | +$154.73 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 442.01 | $0.970 | $437.59 | +$9.02 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 718.49 | $0.646 | $413.13 | -$51.4 |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? | No | 392.55 | $0.958 | $389.61 | +$13.73 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 450 | $0.809 | $371.25 | +$7.25 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 2.97K | $0.852 | $341.09 | -$2.19K |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 320 | $0.945 | $305.6 | +$3.1 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 299.99 | $0.970 | $292.94 | +$1.89 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 305 | $0.891 | $291.27 | +$19.54 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 313.09 | $0.673 | $286.48 | +$75.7 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 309.05 | $0.627 | $285.87 | +$92.07 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 350.25 | $0.859 | $281.95 | -$19.01 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 315 | $0.863 | $269.48 | -$2.39 |
 Ukraine lowers conscription age by March 31, 2027? | No | 305.77 | $0.835 | $258.38 | +$3.08 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 322.84 | $0.692 | $255.04 | +$31.74 |
 Will Houthis target Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | No | 249.79 | $0.875 | $234.8 | +$16.25 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | No | 218.98 | $0.987 | $216.02 | -$0.13 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 220 | $0.862 | $212.63 | +$23.03 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 299.99 | $0.817 | $211.49 | -$33.5 |
 Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? | No | 212.8 | $0.837 | $200.03 | +$21.82 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
