Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.14 |
| $0.880 |
| $1 |
| Dec 9, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.960 | $1.5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?No | buy | 3.25 | $0.923 | $3 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.983 | $2 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.993 | $3 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.901 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.992 | $3 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on December 9?Up | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during December press conference?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "America" or "American" 15+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.944 | $2 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.944 | $2 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on December 9?Down | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.981 | $5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on December 9?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.999 | $2.5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.753 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.987 | $19.74 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 2.5 | $0.995 | $2.49 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?Yes | buy | 20.27 | $0.740 | $15 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Solana above $170 on November 1?Yes | buy | 0.15 | $0.670 | $0.1 | Oct 28, 2024 |
 Nuggets vs. RaptorsNuggets | buy | 0.26 | $0.770 | $0.2 | Oct 28, 2024 |
 Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 0.67 | $0.150 | $0.1 | Oct 28, 2024 |
 Will Germany beat Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes | buy | 0.62 | $0.810 | $0.5 | Oct 11, 2024 |
 Will Berachain launch a token in December?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.400 | $0.5 | Oct 11, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 11?Yes | buy | 0.28 | $0.352 | $0.1 | Oct 11, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.513 | $9.75 | Sep 8, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 19.46 | $0.514 | $10 | Sep 8, 2024 |
 Saints vs. PanthersSaints | sell | 0.3 | $0.975 | $0.29 | Sep 8, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 0.13 | $0.780 | $0.1 | Sep 3, 2024 |
| Saints vs. PanthersSaints | buy | 0.3 | $0.660 | $0.2 | Sep 3, 2024 |
| 49ers vs. Jets49ers | buy | 0.31 | $0.650 | $0.2 | Sep 3, 2024 |
| Chiefs vs. RavensChiefs | buy | 0.17 | $0.590 | $0.1 | Sep 3, 2024 |
 Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.94 | $0.320 | $0.3 | Aug 26, 2024 |
| Solana above $145 on August 30?No | buy | 0.67 | $0.150 | $0.1 | Aug 26, 2024 |