Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 25 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 162 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 87.5% on 27 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 78.5% on 26 Jul 2025. $677.21K traded over the market's life.
249 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 162 points, 25 Jul 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2025 | 50.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| REDVAELL | Yes | 15.57K |
| BoreasArb | Yes | 14.94K |
| ohbabybaby | Yes | 14.57K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pump.fun performs an airdrop by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Pump.fun, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pumpfun-airdop-by
| deadqd | Yes | 13.03K |
| TOXICweast | Yes | 5.09K |
| roman17 | Yes | 3.52K |
| paidlikegeroge | Yes | 3.46K |
| Ipain | Yes | 2.99K |
| AK4747 | Yes | 2.27K |
| Sarcastic-Chipmunk | Yes | 1.54K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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