Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026

cryptoActive

Closes Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Yes

20.0%

80.0%

Buy Yes 20¢Buy No 80¢

24h Volume

Total volume

$185.7K

Liquidity

$3.5K

Closes

Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Where it stands

Yes is at 20%, down 31 points from 50.5% when the market opened on 31 Dec 2025.

The high was 66.5% on 2 Feb 2026 and the low 8% on 4 Jul 2026. A week ago Yes was at 17.5%; a month ago, 19%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 66.5% on 2 Feb 2026.

$2.47 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $185.67K since listing. The order book holds $3.54K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $2.74K bought Yes and $27.51K bought No; the largest was a $1.45K buy of No at 78.0¢.

The largest Yes position is mister1111 with 5.1K shares; the largest No position is mewmew1 with 5.2K. Ten wallets hold 43.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.

Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 87 days from now.

Polymarket prices as of Oct 6, 9:36 PM UTC

Trade

buy Yes· 20¢

Open in terminal$2.47 24h vol

Price historyPolymarket CLOB price history

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 254 points · 31 Dec 2025 – 6 Oct 2026

Largest holders

The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
mewmew1	No	5.21K
mister1111	Yes	5.08K
wackywu	No	3.19K

Rules

What settles this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pump.fun launches a token and performs an airdrop by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Pump.fun, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pumpfun-airdop-by

Dates

Event starts

Jun 3, 2025 UTC

Now

Live observation

Trading closes

Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Event startsJun 3, 2025 UTC

Analytics

Where it stands

Yes is at 20%, down 31 points from 50.5% when the market opened on 31 Dec 2025.

The high was 66.5% on 2 Feb 2026 and the low 8% on 4 Jul 2026. A week ago Yes was at 17.5%; a month ago, 19%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 66.5% on 2 Feb 2026.

The largest Yes position is mister1111 with 5.1K shares; the largest No position is mewmew1 with 5.2K. Ten wallets hold 43.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.

Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 87 days from now.

Polymarket prices as of Oct 6, 9:36 PM UTC

Trader

Outcome

mewmew1

5.21K

mister1111

Yes

5.08K

wackywu

3.19K