Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 20.25K | $0.841 | $17.31K | +$289.94 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 369.46 | $0.947 | $350 | 6d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 27.63K |
| $0.585 |
| $12.57K |
| -$3.59K |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 12.09K | $0.886 | $11.31K | +$592.7 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 11.6K | $0.876 | $10.96K | +$799.94 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.31K | $0.860 | $8.62K | +$605.39 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 7.72K | $0.969 | $7.67K | +$187.58 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 20.76K | $0.579 | $6.96K | -$5.06K |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 4.66K | $0.868 | $4.08K | +$34.98 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 4.39K | $0.729 | $3.49K | +$291.02 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | No | 3.52K | $0.952 | $3.43K | +$81.24 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 16.61K | $0.399 | $3.07K | -$3.55K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.2K | $0.580 | $3.05K | +$36.4 |
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 121.96K | $0.019 | $2.99K | +$608.5 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 3.4K | $0.880 | $2.98K | -$17 |
 Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.3K | $0.869 | $2.13K | +$128.81 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 2.33K | $0.879 | $2.09K | +$37.11 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 720.46 | $0.875 | $680.84 | +$50.12 |
| buy |
| 316.32 |
| $0.999 |
| $316 |
| 7d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.15K | $0.953 | $3K | 8d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 932.8 | $0.997 | $930 | 8d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 299.6 | $0.998 | $299 | 10d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 323.65 | $0.998 | $323 | 11d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.9K | $0.998 | $1.9K | 12d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 2.03K | $0.987 | $2K | 12d ago |
 Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.998 | $2K | 13d ago |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 100.2 | $0.998 | $100 | 13d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.998 | $2K | 13d ago |
 Trump out as President by August 31?No | buy | 5.01K | $0.998 | $5K | 13d ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 469.39 | $0.490 | $230 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.490 | $500 | 14d ago |
 Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 973.9 | $0.996 | $970 | 15d ago |
 Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.998 | $1.5K | 15d ago |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.41K | $0.996 | $2.4K | 19d ago |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.01K | $0.995 | $2K | 19d ago |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.51K | $0.993 | $1.5K | 20d ago |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.01K | $0.996 | $3K | 20d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 5.95K | $0.840 | $5K | 20d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 12.05K | $0.830 | $10K | 20d ago |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes | sell | 999.99 | $0.180 | $180 | 21d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.85K | $0.198 | $1.16K | 21d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.65K | $0.548 | $2K | 21d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.35K | $0.370 | $500 | 22d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 925.93 | $0.540 | $500 | 22d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.19K | $0.420 | $500 | 23d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.658 | $1K | 26d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.24K | $0.670 | $1.5K | 26d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.35K | $0.740 | $1K | 28d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 531.91 | $0.940 | $500 | 29d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.940 | $1K | 29d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 26.75K | $0.797 | $21.31K | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?No | sell | 3.11K | $0.999 | $3.11K | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 356.99 | $0.930 | $332 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.43K | $0.284 | $690 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.998 | $1.5K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.998 | $1K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.984 | $1K | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 49.3 | $0.994 | $49 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No | buy | 276.1 | $0.905 | $250 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?No | buy | 712.82 | $0.982 | $700 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No | buy | 216.2 | $0.925 | $200 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 177.06 | $0.994 | $176 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?No | buy | 2.01K | $0.995 | $2K | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.01K | $0.997 | $3K | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 562.45 | $0.889 | $500 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.993 | $1K | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.03K | $0.984 | $2K | Jul 22, 2026 |