Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 278 | $0.627 | $257.98 | +$83.68 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?No | sell | 887 | $0.810 | $718.47 | Apr 21, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 624 |
| $0.110 |
| $112.32 |
| +$43.68 |
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 111 | $0.630 | $101.57 | +$31.64 |
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? | No | 57 | $0.850 | $54.66 | +$6.21 |
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | No | 49 | $0.750 | $46.84 | +$10.09 |
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 36 | $0.259 | $26.84 | +$17.51 |
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 267 | $0.621 | $19.22 | -$146.58 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? | Yes | 30 | $0.773 | $3.74 | -$19.46 |
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | No | 3 | $0.780 | $2.67 | +$0.33 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 0.91 | $0.085 | $0.86 | +$0.78 |
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? | No | 0.7 | $0.570 | $0.35 | -$0.05 |
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7 | $0.032 | $0.27 | +$0.04 |
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3 | $0.320 | $0.23 | -$0.74 |
Will Strava’s market cap be between $10B and $15B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 0.2 | $0.023 | $0.01 | +$0.01 |
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 17.88 | $0.009 | $0.01 | -$0.15 |
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 2 | $0.015 | $0 | -$0.03 |
| sell |
| 55 |
| $0.004 |
| $0.22 |
| Apr 21, 2026 |
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?No | sell | 25 | $0.820 | $20.5 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?No | sell | 1.06K | $0.590 | $623.04 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?No | sell | 1.08K | $0.003 | $3.23 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 762 | $0.610 | $464.82 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No | buy | 762 | $0.620 | $472.44 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 712 | $0.680 | $484.16 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 121 | $0.445 | $53.85 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?No | sell | 735 | $0.860 | $632.1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30?No | sell | 431 | $0.820 | $353.42 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5Under | buy | 202 | $0.890 | $179.78 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?No | buy | 735 | $0.880 | $646.8 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 712 | $0.670 | $477.04 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30?No | sell | 328 | $0.840 | $275.52 | Apr 12, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 505 | $0.870 | $439.35 | Apr 12, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 112 | $0.870 | $97.44 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.259 | $9.32 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 121 | $0.299 | $36.18 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?No | buy | 912 | $0.800 | $729.6 | Apr 12, 2026 |
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No | sell | 340 | $0.710 | $241.4 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 637 | $0.880 | $560.56 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?Yes | sell | 56 | $0.900 | $50.4 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.900 | $21.6 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.900 | $22.5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.58K | $0.630 | $993.51 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 637 | $0.880 | $560.56 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.69K | $0.630 | $1.06K | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?No | buy | 1.06K | $0.870 | $918.72 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30?No | buy | 759 | $0.840 | $637.56 | Apr 12, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 617 | $0.880 | $542.96 | Apr 12, 2026 |
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins | buy | 2.17K | $0.490 | $1.06K | Apr 12, 2026 |
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 557 | $0.880 | $490.16 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.230 | $4.6 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 888 | $0.740 | $657.12 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 68 | $0.740 | $50.32 | Apr 12, 2026 |
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.32K | $0.680 | $897.6 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 16 | $0.670 | $10.72 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 14 | $0.670 | $9.38 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 16 | $0.670 | $10.72 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 13 | $0.670 | $8.71 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 16 | $0.670 | $10.72 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 29 | $0.670 | $19.43 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 29 | $0.670 | $19.43 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.670 | $20.1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.670 | $20.1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 167 | $0.670 | $111.89 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.840 | $25.2 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo | sell | 231 | $0.600 | $138.6 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo | sell | 1.02K | $0.600 | $609 | Apr 11, 2026 |