Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2.72K | $0.848 | $2.33K | +$18.21 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 104.55 | $0.880 | $92 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.92K |
| $0.892 |
| $1.8K |
| +$83.4 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 1.43K | $0.864 | $1.25K | +$16.06 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 1.1K | $0.765 | $994.46 | +$153.46 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 854.07 | $0.890 | $798.55 | +$38.55 |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | No | 799.33 | $0.946 | $790.94 | +$34.42 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 905.45 | $0.815 | $706.25 | -$31.75 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | No | 700.82 | $0.937 | $687.85 | +$31.13 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 761.89 | $0.843 | $666.65 | +$24.46 |
 Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | No | 749.69 | $0.829 | $655.98 | +$34.74 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 676.74 | $0.860 | $605.69 | +$23.69 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 582.75 | $0.772 | $544.87 | +$94.87 |
 McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026? | No | 582.7 | $0.919 | $539 | +$3.7 |
 Will US annex any territory in 2026? | No | 500.99 | $0.946 | $475.19 | +$1.19 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | No | 524.37 | $0.866 | $474.55 | +$20.55 |
 U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31? | No | 494.63 | $0.904 | $469.89 | +$22.62 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 475.1 | $0.884 | $439.46 | +$19.46 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 424.12 | $0.938 | $396.55 | -$1.45 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 413.65 | $0.855 | $388.83 | +$35.23 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027? | No | 402.58 | $0.893 | $383.26 | +$23.74 |
 Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | No | 384.97 | $0.963 | $380.73 | +$10.11 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 376.74 | $0.889 | $344.71 | +$9.71 |
 Russia coup attempt in 2026? | No | 359.79 | $0.895 | $340 | +$18 |
 Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? | No | 324.87 | $0.950 | $310.74 | +$2.22 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | No | 352.54 | $0.885 | $280.27 | -$31.73 |
| buy |
| 107.69 |
| $0.910 |
| $98 |
| 1d ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?No | buy | 181.11 | $0.883 | $160 | 1d ago |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 362.87 | $0.966 | $350.53 | 1d ago |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?No | buy | 17.05 | $0.880 | $15 | 2d ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?No | buy | 171.43 | $0.887 | $152 | 2d ago |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.910 | $7 | 2d ago |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | 2d ago |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?No | buy | 209.82 | $0.977 | $205 | 3d ago |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 137.03 | $0.883 | $121 | 3d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 127.91 | $0.860 | $110 | 3d ago |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?No | buy | 65.93 | $0.910 | $60 | 3d ago |
| U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?No | buy | 96.69 | $0.931 | $90 | 3d ago |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 108.08 | $0.934 | $101 | 3d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 261.11 | $0.900 | $235 | 3d ago |
 Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 122.23 | $0.924 | $113 | 3d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 138.1 | $0.840 | $116 | 7d ago |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | buy | 141.38 | $0.870 | $123 | 7d ago |
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.850 | $50 | 7d ago |
| Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 119.61 | $0.928 | $111 | 7d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 115.62 | $0.865 | $100 | 16d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 103.31 | $0.968 | $100 | 16d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 150.73 | $0.663 | $100 | 20d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 157.99 | $0.633 | $100 | 20d ago |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?No | buy | 102.22 | $0.978 | $100 | 26d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.830 | $83 | 26d ago |
| McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?No | buy | 41.86 | $0.920 | $38.51 | 26d ago |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?No | buy | 191 | $0.920 | $175.72 | 26d ago |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?No | buy | 300 | $0.920 | $276 | 26d ago |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.969 | $96.9 | 26d ago |
 Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 74.2 | $0.780 | $57.88 | 26d ago |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.940 | $94 | 26d ago |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 93.66 | $0.680 | $63.69 | 26d ago |
| Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No | buy | 22 | $0.933 | $20.53 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 63.86 | $0.957 | $61.1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.910 | $27.3 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?No | buy | 43.1 | $0.888 | $38.27 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.790 | $23.7 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.750 | $75 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.956 | $47.8 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 257.46 | $0.990 | $254.76 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?No | sell | 384.96 | $0.987 | $379.85 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.850 | $25.5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 25.09 | $0.992 | $24.9 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.79 | $0.870 | $12 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?No | buy | 121.83 | $0.837 | $102 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 74.99 | $0.991 | $74.28 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 39.36 | $0.988 | $38.89 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?No | buy | 59.59 | $0.856 | $51 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 57.91 | $0.863 | $50 | Jul 5, 2026 |