Latest trade
Oct 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:37 AM UTC.
Analytics
Gruesome-Bog is down $0.62 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-04 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:37 AM UTC.
$0.57 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 27 markets; 38.0% were buys. They run from Jun 29, 2026 UTC to Oct 4, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4.74 | $0.380 | $1.09 | -$0.71 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 4.74 | $0.380 | $1.8 | 19d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-04 16:42 UTC
Polymarket public position response
12 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 00:37 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 00:37 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-04 16:42 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $60.79 and losing ones cost $32.75 across the latest 50 settled positions. 50% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $9.18 on “US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $3.89 on “Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 4 Oct 2026. It has traded 125 markets. Its open positions are worth $3.49 across 12 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 9.44 |
| $0.080 |
| $0.52 |
| -$0.23 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.64 | $0.232 | $0.29 | -$0.09 |
 Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? | Yes | 6.44 | $0.162 | $0.28 | -$0.76 |
 Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.08 | $0.270 | $0.27 | -$0.29 |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | Yes | 5.86 | $0.110 | $0.24 | -$0.4 |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.72 | $0.170 | $0.21 | -$0.09 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | Yes | 1.63 | $0.170 | $0.15 | -$0.12 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 1.8 | $0.420 | $0.15 | -$0.6 |
 Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | Yes | 2.37 | $0.110 | $0.11 | -$0.15 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 2.3 | $0.100 | $0.1 | -$0.13 |
 Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | Yes | 4.3 | $0.070 | $0.07 | -$0.23 |
| sell |
| 0.91 |
| $0.860 |
| $0.78 |
| 19d ago |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 4.64 | $0.240 | $1.11 | 19d ago |
| Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.4 | $0.250 | $1.1 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.51 | $0.310 | $0.47 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.53 | $0.900 | $0.48 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 4.63 | $0.100 | $0.46 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.62 | $0.220 | $0.36 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.57 | $0.220 | $0.35 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.2 | $0.050 | $0.11 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.07 | $0.220 | $0.24 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.42 | $0.220 | $0.31 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.07 | $0.310 | $0.33 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.44 | $0.162 | $1.04 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 3.85 | $0.034 | $0.13 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | sell | 3.31 | $0.070 | $0.23 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.58 | $0.200 | $0.32 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.79 | $0.230 | $0.41 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 12.75 | $0.080 | $1.02 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.31 | $0.210 | $0.07 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
 New pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.1 | $0.050 | $0.26 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.031 | $0.34 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.76 | $0.260 | $0.72 | Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?Yes | sell | 4.29 | $0.058 | $0.25 | Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | sell | 0.92 | $0.360 | $0.33 | Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?Yes | buy | 18.7 | $0.053 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.72 | $0.911 | $1.57 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.1 | $0.300 | $0.63 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.04 | $0.230 | $0.93 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 7.38 | $0.160 | $1.18 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.14 | $0.240 | $0.27 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.73 | $0.581 | $0.42 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.56 | $0.690 | $0.39 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 2.77 | $0.187 | $0.52 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 1.06 | $0.460 | $0.49 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.530 | $1.06 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.93 | $0.122 | $0.24 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 3.93 | $0.062 | $0.24 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance AND Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals AND Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance | buy | 2.11 | $0.464 | $0.98 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
 Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to AdvanceMexico | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.