Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETUp | sell | 27.77 | $0.340 | $9.44 | Jun 15, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 27.77 |
| $0.280 |
| $7.78 |
| Jun 15, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETUp | buy | 10.71 | $0.280 | $3 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETUp | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETUp | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 63.5 | $0.680 | $43.18 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 63.51 | $0.690 | $43.82 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 70.31 | $0.630 | $44.3 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 70.31 | $0.640 | $45 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETDown | buy | 20.75 | $0.390 | $8.09 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.047 | $2 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.048 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 43.96 | $0.091 | $4 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.035 | $1.33 | Feb 19, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 36.84 | $0.190 | $7 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 102.03 | $0.510 | $52.04 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 102.04 | $0.520 | $53.06 | Feb 10, 2026 |
US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.530 | $4.82 | Jan 29, 2026 |
US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Jan 27, 2026 |
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 55.46 | $0.820 | $45.48 | Jan 27, 2026 |
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 55.46 | $0.840 | $46.59 | Jan 27, 2026 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.630 | $3 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 57 | $0.870 | $49.59 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.870 | $49.59 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 64.4 | $0.770 | $49.59 | Nov 6, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 64.4 | $0.800 | $51.52 | Nov 6, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 62.83 | $0.820 | $51.52 | Oct 9, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 62.83 | $0.830 | $52.15 | Oct 9, 2025 |
Will Solana dip to $190 in September?No | sell | 561.83 | $0.892 | $501.15 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Will Solana dip to $190 in September?No | buy | 561.83 | $0.904 | $507.67 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 540.07 | $0.940 | $507.67 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 540.07 | $0.950 | $513.07 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 583.04 | $0.880 | $513.08 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 583.04 | $0.890 | $518.91 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 538.29 | $0.964 | $518.91 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 538.29 | $0.965 | $519.45 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Yes | sell | 12.94 | $0.750 | $9.71 | Sep 15, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.95 | $0.550 | $7.12 | Jul 27, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?Yes | sell | 11.23 | $0.500 | $5.62 | Jul 27, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.089 | $1 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $82,000 on April 18?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Apr 14, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Apr 14, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1600 and $1700 on Apr 18?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Apr 14, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Feb 4, 2025 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 7.55 | $0.530 | $4 | Jan 6, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on January 31?Yes | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | Jan 6, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 3.11 | $0.986 | $3.07 | Jan 6, 2025 |
Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 5.37 | $0.790 | $4.24 | Jan 6, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?No | sell | 8.03 | $0.994 | $7.98 | Jan 6, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Jan 6, 2025 |