Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?

cryptoResolved

No, settled Jan 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$18.5M

Resolved

Settled

Jan 1, 2026 UTC

Topic roomEthereum Price

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 58% on 31 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 368 daily closes on record from 31 Dec 2024 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 92.5% on 23 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 92.5% on 23 Aug 2025. $18.47M traded over the market's life.

687 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 10:41 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 368 points, 31 Dec 2024 – 1 Jan 2026

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
mm2308	Yes	351K
djwcx	Yes	178.22K
Dreary-Buffer	Yes	73.04K

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETHUSDT) between December 30, 2024, 21:00 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $5,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.