Latest trade
Nov 20, 2024 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:34 PM UTC.
Analytics
tanstaaflol is down $38.74 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 41 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2025-08-14 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Nov 20, 2024 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:34 PM UTC.
$5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 41 markets; 86.0% were buys. They run from Nov 3, 2024 UTC to Nov 20, 2024 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Harris win Virginia by 6+ points?No | sell | 6.69 | $0.996 | $6.66 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-08-14 19:35 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 15:34 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 15:34 UTC
polymarket positions
42 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-08-14 19:35 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $178.26 and losing ones cost $51 across 41 settled positions. 63.4% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $33.62 on “Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?” (Yes); the largest loss, $20 on “Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 20 Nov 2024. It has traded 61 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 1.24 |
| $0.990 |
| $1.23 |
| Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
| Will Harris win New Jersey by 10+ points?No | sell | 7.07 | $0.990 | $7 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
| Will Harris win New Jersey by 10+ points?No | sell | 6.06 | $0.990 | $6 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
| Will Harris win New Jersey by 10+ points?No | sell | 0.3 | $0.990 | $0.3 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump nominate Bill Hagerty for Treasury Secretary?Yes | buy | 53.17 | $0.188 | $10 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
 East coast port strike in January?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
 Will RFK Jr. be Trump's HHS Secretary?Yes | buy | 12.15 | $0.823 | $10 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
 Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
| Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump pick Kash Patel for Director of the FBI?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump pick Ken Paxton for Director of the FBI?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.039 | $5 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
 Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kari Lake be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
 Will Ken Paxton be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump nominate Nicole Shanahan for FDA Commissioner?Yes | buy | 174.14 | $0.029 | $5 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
 Will Matt Gaetz be Trump's Attorney General?Yes | buy | 119.05 | $0.420 | $50 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
 Trump uses a recess appointment for Cabinet?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
 Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump nominate Ben Carson for HUD Secretary?No | buy | 20.2 | $0.495 | $10 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump nominate Thomas Massie for Agriculture Secretary?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
| Will RFK Jr. be Trump's HHS Secretary?Yes | buy | 12.15 | $0.823 | $10 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
 Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.990 | $35.35 | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
| Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 9.49 | $0.490 | $4.65 | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?Yes | sell | 4.68 | $0.993 | $4.65 | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
 Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
 Will Harris win Minnesota by 3+ points?No | buy | 13.64 | $0.220 | $3 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
 Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10.49 | $0.570 | $5.98 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.840 | $30 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| Will Harris win Minnesota by 3+ points?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Peanut" or "squirrel" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Peanut" or "squirrel" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 14.34 | $0.279 | $4 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| Will Harris win New Jersey by 10+ points?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
 Will a Democrat win New Jersey Presidential Election?No | buy | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 9.33 | $0.520 | $4.85 | Nov 3, 2024 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.