Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump nominate Bill Hagerty for Treasury Secretary?Yes | buy | 53.17 | $0.188 | $10 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.22 |
| $0.450 |
| $1 |
| Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Nov 20, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Nov 20, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Nov 20, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Nov 20, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Nov 20, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. be Trump's HHS Secretary?Yes | buy | 12.15 | $0.823 | $10 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Nov 20, 2024 |
| Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will Trump pick Kash Patel for Director of the FBI?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will Trump pick Ken Paxton for Director of the FBI?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.039 | $5 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will Kari Lake be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will Ken Paxton be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Nicole Shanahan for FDA Commissioner?Yes | buy | 174.14 | $0.029 | $5 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will Matt Gaetz be Trump's Attorney General?Yes | buy | 119.05 | $0.420 | $50 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Trump uses a recess appointment for Cabinet?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Ben Carson for HUD Secretary?No | buy | 20.2 | $0.495 | $10 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Thomas Massie for Agriculture Secretary?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Nov 20, 2024 |
| Will RFK Jr. be Trump's HHS Secretary?Yes | buy | 12.15 | $0.823 | $10 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.990 | $35.35 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 9.49 | $0.490 | $4.65 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?Yes | sell | 4.68 | $0.993 | $4.65 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Harris win Minnesota by 3+ points?No | buy | 13.64 | $0.220 | $3 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10.49 | $0.570 | $5.98 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.840 | $30 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will Harris win Minnesota by 3+ points?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Peanut" or "squirrel" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Peanut" or "squirrel" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 14.34 | $0.279 | $4 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Harris win New Jersey by 10+ points?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win New Jersey Presidential Election?No | buy | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 9.33 | $0.520 | $4.85 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Russia" 3 or more times during Virginia rally on Nov 2?Yes | buy | 0.68 | $0.660 | $0.45 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "vote" 30 or more times during Virginia rally on Nov 2?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 12.45 | $0.560 | $6.97 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.316 | $4 | Nov 1, 2024 |