Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 7 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 175 daily closes on record from 7 Nov 2024 to 30 Apr 2025, the highest close was 31.5% on 12 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 29 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 31.5% on 12 Nov 2024. $1.79M traded over the market's life.
166 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 30, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 175 points, 7 Nov 2024 – 30 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2024 | 6.5% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | 0.5% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-ends-department-of-education-in-first-100-days
| whitman69 | Yes | 4.84K |
| shorting-trump | Yes | 4.09K |
| JohnCocktoastin | Yes | 3.33K |
| maktouch | Yes | 3.28K |
| Divndave | Yes | 3.09K |
| Matnomad | Yes | 2.97K |
| hghhh. | Yes | 2.83K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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