Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.6%. Yes opened at 3.5% on 19 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 19 Nov 2024 to 1 Dec 2024, the highest close was 12.6% on 24 Nov 2024 and the lowest 1.4% on 1 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 12.6% on 24 Nov 2024. $31K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 2, 1:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 19 Nov 2024 – 1 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2024 | 3.5% |
| 1 Dec 2024 | 1.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 12.01K |
| tanstaaflol | Yes | 128.21 |
| Ludik97 | Yes | 65.48 |
| Cobalt Harbor 0E10 | Yes | 17.78 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump announces that he will nominate Ken Paxton for Director of the FBI by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first announcement - if Trump announces another person for Director of the FBI, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-pick-for-fbi-director
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| OUIYIOPYIO | Yes | 0.13 |
| RYRTYRU | Yes | 0.07 |
| UYIRYUIRYUI | Yes | 0.06 |
| GFHSDFSD | Yes | 0.06 |
| nOvKinG-169 | No | 0.01 |
