Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.973 | $0.99 | Mar 29, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 1.02 |
| $0.978 |
| $1 |
| Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.983 | $0.99 | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Feb 1, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Opensea token market cap (FDV) $1-3b one day after launch?Yes | buy | 0.04 | $0.270 | $0.01 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Mystery Drones searching for nuclear weapons?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.960 | $0.01 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Did Luigi Mangione's parents have UnitedHealthCare?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.750 | $0.01 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will Syria hold national elections by January 31?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k again by Sunday?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.730 | $0.01 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 Daniel Penny found guilty of manslaughter?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.600 | $0.01 | Dec 3, 2024 |
 Will Trump pick Ken Paxton for Director of the FBI?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.971 | $0.01 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Will Ronaldo x MrBeast video get >30m views on day 1?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.920 | $0.01 | Nov 21, 2024 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.620 | $0.01 | Nov 20, 2024 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.600 | $0.01 | Nov 18, 2024 |
 Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?Yes | buy | 0.04 | $0.260 | $0.01 | Nov 17, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.560 | $0.01 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 2.25% or more?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.650 | $0.01 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 X and Truth Social merger announced before August?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.850 | $0.01 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.770 | $0.01 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | Nov 10, 2024 |
| Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Trump declassifies Diddy list?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.900 | $0.01 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 AOC pregnant in 2024?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.900 | $0.01 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Will Nice beat Twente?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.600 | $0.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Trump x Elon space tonight?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.992 | $0.01 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Who will win young men?Harris | buy | 0.02 | $0.600 | $0.01 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.550 | $0.01 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 4.0% or more?Yes | buy | 0.17 | $0.060 | $0.01 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 S&P500 all time high after election is called?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.840 | $0.01 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will 3rd parties cost Kamala Michigan?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.750 | $0.01 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.930 | $0.01 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.570 | $0.01 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "sex change" during North Carolina rally on Nov 3?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.860 | $0.01 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Kamala wins 273-265 - GA, MI, NCNo | buy | 0.01 | $0.980 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Trump wins 270-268 - GA, NC, PAYes | buy | 0.2 | $0.050 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Kamala wins 287-251 - PA, NV, MI, WI, AZNo | buy | 0.01 | $0.930 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Trump wins 283-255 - AZ, GA, MI, NV, NCNo | buy | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Vote" 20 or more times during New Mexico rally on October 31?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.480 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Kamala wins 275-263 - Sunbelt SweepNo | buy | 0.01 | $0.985 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will Chase Oliver get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.370 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 AP calls Pennsylvania by 8:00 AM Nov 6?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.630 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 AP calls Georgia by 8:00 AM Nov 6?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.780 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 AP calls Michigan by 8:00 AM Nov 6?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.600 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 1-25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.740 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.331 | $0.01 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 62.43 | $0.339 | $21.16 | Oct 29, 2024 |