Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.52 | $0.940 | $8.9 | -$0.05 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.940 | $8.95 | 10h ago |
 |
| sell |
| 10.46 |
| $0.930 |
| $9.73 |
| 10h ago |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.46 | $0.950 | $9.94 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by July 31?No | buy | 4.72 | $0.995 | $4.7 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?No | sell | 10.52 | $0.920 | $9.68 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 10.59 | $0.961 | $10.18 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 10.59 | $0.944 | $10 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the April meeting?No | buy | 12.42 | $0.998 | $12.4 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?No | sell | 13.29 | $0.933 | $12.4 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?No | buy | 13.29 | $0.999 | $13.28 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?No | sell | 13.95 | $0.952 | $13.28 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?No | buy | 13.96 | $0.958 | $13.37 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 18?No | buy | 13.37 | $0.985 | $13.17 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Mistral have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 13.22 | $0.996 | $13.17 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Mistral have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 13.23 | $0.970 | $12.83 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,850-$4,975 in January?No | buy | 6.74 | $0.992 | $6.69 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?No | buy | 6.09 | $0.985 | $6 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on December 9?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.992 | $1.6 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 5?Yes | buy | 1.6 | $0.976 | $1.56 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by November 30?No | buy | 1.57 | $0.920 | $1.44 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.50–3.75 in October?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.990 | $1.42 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of November 10 above $290?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.980 | $1.39 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 1.43 | $0.978 | $1.4 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.977 | $1.4 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1.43 | $0.978 | $1.4 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.979 | $1.4 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will the US loose jobs in September?No | sell | 1.41 | $0.990 | $1.4 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will the US loose jobs in September?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.975 | $1.38 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 North Korea missile launch by October 15?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.989 | $1.37 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump Media invest in Bitcoin before March?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.977 | $1.34 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?No | buy | 5.63 | $0.974 | $5.48 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Honda and Nissan merger announced before February?No | buy | 6.68 | $0.967 | $6.46 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Elon Musk citizenship revoked before inauguration?No | buy | 7.37 | $0.997 | $7.35 | Jan 5, 2025 |
| Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?No | buy | 3.6 | $0.965 | $3.47 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.994 | $2.58 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?No | buy | 4.29 | $0.996 | $4.27 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. place second in any state?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.999 | $2.67 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?No | buy | 3.63 | $0.998 | $3.62 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.983 | $1.52 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Yes | sell | 44.26K | $0.001 | $44.26 | Dec 15, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Yes | buy | 44.26K | $0.001 | $44.26 | Dec 15, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 1.75-2.0%?Yes | buy | 27.43K | $0.001 | $27.43 | Dec 15, 2024 |