Analytics
Trading ended on 24 Nov 2025 with Yes at 2.8%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 334 daily closes on record from 7 Nov 2025 to 30 Oct 2026 (25 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 48.5% on 7 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 23 Nov 2025. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.5%; a month before, 1.6%. Its largest one-day move was 46 points down, to 2.6% on 8 Nov 2025.
It is one of 12 markets under “Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election”.
$20.56K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is Bright Horizon 81D6 with 1.2K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 6.5K. Ten wallets hold 87% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 12:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 334 points, 7 Nov 2025 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2025 | 48.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 2.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.48K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.22K |
| fiter | Yes | 1.05K |
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/guinea-bissau-presidential-election
| Yelowyolo | Yes | 1.01K |
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 282 |
| 123987456 | Yes | 200 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 195.53 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 162 |
| awgraewrfa | Yes | 153.91 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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