Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 43% on 27 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 34 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 1 Aug 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 43% on 27 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 2.8% on 28 Jun 2026. $71.25K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 1 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 43.0% |
| 1 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| labistiiia | Yes | 942.77 |
| ciprovo | Yes | 599.96 |
| Actual-Processing | Yes | 333.33 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/meloni-out-as-prime-minister-of-italy-by-june-30
New to prediction markets?
| LukeAlpha | Yes | 294.99 |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | Yes | 283.82 |
| Elias.Thornwell | Yes | 210 |
| Rami.666 | Yes | 163.34 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| norealtime | Yes | 109 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
