Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 117.65 | $0.170 | $20 | 29d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 6.09 |
| $0.984 |
| $5.99 |
| Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 7.3 | $0.684 | $5 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 20.66 | $0.484 | $10 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.28 | $0.973 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.991 | $5 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 10.03 | $0.997 | $10 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 10.04 | $0.996 | $10 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Piers Morgan be named in newly released Epstein files?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump say "Hanukkah" or "Chanukah" during Israel President events on December 29?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "AI" or "artificial intelligence" during Israel President events on December 29?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say the N-word during Israel President events on December 29?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.975 | $2 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?No | buy | 10.34 | $0.967 | $10 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India"?No | buy | 15.99 | $0.938 | $15 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina"?No | buy | 16.3 | $0.920 | $15 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 5.42 | $0.922 | $5 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.937 | $1 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 5.61 | $0.892 | $5 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.079 | $1 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 5.31 | $0.942 | $5 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Debt ceiling raised or suspended before July?No | buy | 10.52 | $0.951 | $10 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Trump baby bonus before July?No | buy | 5.48 | $0.912 | $5 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.980 | $10 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will anyone audibly fart during the Berkshire Hathaway Shareholders Meeting?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | May 2, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever HappensYes | buy | 20.04 | $0.998 | $20 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.380 | $20 | Mar 14, 2025 |
| U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.240 | $20 | Mar 14, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.989 | $2 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Rudy Giuliani attend presidential inauguration?Yes | buy | 3.01 | $0.998 | $3 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration?Yes | buy | 2.07 | $0.964 | $2 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove FBI director Christopher Wray?Yes | buy | 2.41 | $0.829 | $2 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?Yes | buy | 3.1 | $0.968 | $3 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Jan 18, 2025 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.993 | $2 | Jan 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during victory rally?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | Jan 18, 2025 |
 Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Jan 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "doge" or "dogecoin" during victory rally?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Jan 18, 2025 |