Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 23 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 40 daily closes on record from 23 May 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 49.5% on 23 May 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 1 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 2.1% on 28 May 2025. $10.76K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 23 May 2025 – 1 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 May 2025 | 49.5% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tekramP | Yes | 750.17 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 68 |
| udeo | Yes | 50 |
| balasprofit | Yes | 35.71 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US debt ceiling is either raised suspended again by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will only resolve to "Yes" if the US debt ceiling is raised or suspended. If the debt ceiling is abolished entirely within the established timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/debt-ceiling-raised-or-suspended-before-july
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Fitzyb | Yes | 16.71 |
| newjimsimons | Yes | 10 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 7.73 |
| makemoneyhoney | Yes | 6 |
| degenfun | No | 0.47 |
| Mullill | No | 0.02 |
