
Resolved No on 19 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 53% on 10 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 10 Jan 2025 to 19 Jan 2025, the highest close was 53% on 10 Jan 2025 and the lowest 1.1% on 19 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 2.1% on 18 Jan 2025. $337.64K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 9:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 10 Jan 2025 – 19 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2025 | 53.0% |
| 19 Jan 2025 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Chuckieg4 | Yes | 5.87K |
| Auset | Yes | 5.25K |
| propooper98 | Yes | 3.01K |
| jddddz | Yes | 1.59K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The U.S. Supreme Court is hearing oral arguments on Thursday, as TikTok seeks to challenge, a law that would force the app to shut down in the United States by January 19 unless it severs ties with its Chinese parent company ByteDance (See: https://time.com/7205609/supreme-court-tiktok-arguments-ban/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States takes any action, such as issuing a ruling, order, or stay, that prevents or delays the enforcement of the federal law mandating TikTok’s sale or ban by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any official Supreme Court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks the implementation of the law’s January 19 deadline will qualify. If the law is enforced on or before January 19, 2025, without a qualifying action by the Supreme Court, this market will resolve to "No." If the Supreme Court does not take any action on the matter by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-supreme-court-delay-the-tiktok-ban
| iLC-768 | Yes | 833.33 |
| Unfaithful | Yes | 589.96 |
| c291dGhzdG9uZ | Yes | 271.77 |
| Misty Kestrel EA17 | Yes | 245.14 |
| BitterDaisies | Yes | 215.74 |
| cheeks | Yes | 210 |
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