Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 92.4% on 16 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 16 Jan 2025 to 20 Jan 2025, the highest close was 100% on 20 Jan 2025 and the lowest 1.6% on 17 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 98 points up, to 99.4% on 18 Jan 2025. $3.61M traded over the market's life.
75 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 21, 12:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 16 Jan 2025 – 20 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2025 | 92.4% |
| 20 Jan 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ProfessorPutz | No | 33.72K |
| PGvWyy1cDV | No | 21.03K |
| rapaport | No | 17.87K |
| Wisest | No | 3.93K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has agreed to a ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between itself and Hamas between January 15, 10:00 AM ET and January 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If Israel officially announces an agreement before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterwards. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from Israel, however a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating Israel has announced an official ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas has been reached will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-announces-ceasefire-by-thursday
| Multicolored-Stole | No | 3.57K |
| Crapshot | No | 3.23K |
| Alex255385 | No | 3.23K |
| vitriol | No | 3.05K |
| wuwus | No | 3.03K |
| katex | No | 2.9K |
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