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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by December 31? | No | 363.74 | $0.924 | $351.01 | +$15.01 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by December 31?No | buy | 135.48 | $0.930 | $126 | 3d ago |
 |
| No |
| 249.96 |
| $0.964 |
| $242.34 |
| +$1.33 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | No | 127.46 | $0.926 | $121.72 | +$3.72 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? | No | 109.89 | $0.910 | $103.85 | +$3.85 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 99.35 | $0.543 | $92.24 | +$38.24 |
 Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 84.78 | $0.945 | $78.93 | -$1.19 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? | No | 96.53 | $0.901 | $70.95 | -$16.05 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | Yes | 74.1 | $0.946 | $70.73 | +$0.63 |
 China coup attempt before 2027? | No | 72.54 | $0.965 | $70.14 | +$0.14 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | No | 81.48 | $0.844 | $70.07 | +$1.3 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 63.6 | $0.875 | $59.47 | +$3.83 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? | No | 60.32 | $0.912 | $58.27 | +$3.27 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | No | 53.31 | $0.938 | $50.37 | +$0.37 |
 OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31? | 59.52 | $0.840 | $46.73 | -$3.27 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 59.47 | $0.824 | $46.09 | -$2.91 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December? | No | 46.97 | $0.958 | $45.28 | +$0.28 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 43.18 | $0.954 | $41.52 | +$0.31 |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? | No | 42.16 | $0.949 | $39.61 | -$0.39 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 44.15 | $0.906 | $38.45 | -$1.55 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 32.61 | $0.889 | $30.16 | +$1.16 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 31.85 | $0.937 | $30.1 | +$0.25 |
 Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? | No | 32.26 | $0.930 | $29.19 | -$0.81 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027? | No | 20.83 | $0.960 | $19.97 | -$0.03 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? | No | 21.28 | $0.933 | $19.15 | -$0.71 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 19.32 | $0.880 | $17.97 | +$0.97 |
| buy |
| 10.65 |
| $0.939 |
| $10 |
| 3d ago |
 Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 9, 2026?No | buy | 56.22 | $0.996 | $56 | 4d ago |
 Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 52.11 | $0.969 | $50.49 | 4d ago |
 Negative GDP growth in 2026?No | sell | 4.08 | $0.974 | $3.97 | 4d ago |
| Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.979 | $1.22 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.18 | $0.994 | $30 | 5d ago |
| Negative GDP growth in 2026?No | sell | 31.1 | $0.973 | $30.25 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 50.36 | $0.993 | $50 | 5d ago |
 Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 50.1 | $0.998 | $50 | 6d ago |
| Negative GDP growth in 2026?No | sell | 50.87 | $0.971 | $49.42 | 6d ago |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 42.49 | $0.965 | $41 | 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No | buy | 44.15 | $0.906 | $40 | 7d ago |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.160 | $1.45 | 7d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.67 | $0.750 | $8 | 7d ago |
| China coup attempt before 2027?No | buy | 72.54 | $0.965 | $70 | 10d ago |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.960 | $20 | 10d ago |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 207.47 | $0.964 | $200 | 10d ago |
| OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?Google | buy | 59.52 | $0.840 | $50 | 10d ago |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by December 31?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | 10d ago |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by December 31?No | buy | 32.61 | $0.920 | $30 | 10d ago |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by December 31?No | buy | 163.04 | $0.920 | $150 | 10d ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | 10d ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.7 | $0.920 | $8 | 10d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 30.85 | $0.940 | $29 | 10d ago |
| Negative GDP growth in 2026?No | sell | 38.73 | $0.971 | $37.59 | 10d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 56.74 | $0.987 | $56 | 10d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 30.93 | $0.970 | $30 | 14d ago |
 Next Alibaba Qwen Flash (3.8+) released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 42.99 | $0.930 | $40 | 14d ago |
| Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 42.63 | $0.972 | $41.44 | 14d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 11.27 | $0.975 | $10.99 | 14d ago |
| GTA VI released by October 31?No | sell | 30.58 | $0.987 | $30.18 | 14d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December?No | buy | 46.97 | $0.958 | $45 | 22d ago |
 XRP all time high by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 45.82 | $0.981 | $44.96 | 22d ago |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?No | buy | 31.76 | $0.850 | $27 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 42.55 | $0.940 | $40 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 74 | $0.946 | $70 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 41.88 | $0.955 | $40 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No | sell | 1.76 | $0.980 | $1.72 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 OpenAI acquired before 2027?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.959 | $11.41 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Human moon landing in 2026?No | sell | 0.48 | $0.989 | $0.47 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?Yes | buy | 100.6 | $0.994 | $100 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?No | sell | 10.14 | $0.999 | $10.13 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 84.57 | $0.946 | $80 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| GTA VI released by October 31?No | buy | 30.9 | $0.971 | $30 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?No | buy | 21.07 | $0.949 | $20 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?No | buy | 10.14 | $0.986 | $10 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?No | buy | 100.7 | $0.993 | $100 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?No | buy | 35.29 | $0.850 | $30 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Human moon landing in 2026?No | sell | 12.16 | $0.977 | $11.88 | Jul 24, 2026 |