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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 1.25K | $0.385 | $877.03 | +$395 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
| No |
| 1.5K |
| $0.171 |
| $227.68 |
| -$29.59 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 700 | $0.064 | $227.5 | +$182.5 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | Yes | 1.45K | $0.110 | $152.25 | -$6.75 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 1.2K | $0.130 | $150 | -$6 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | No | 533.34 | $0.231 | $141.34 | +$18.33 |
 Iran coup attempt by December 31? | Yes | 793.99 | $0.070 | $111.16 | +$55.58 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.7K | $0.070 | $110.5 | -$8.5 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | Yes | 651.22 | $0.273 | $97.68 | -$79.96 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? | Yes | 719.7 | $0.216 | $86.36 | -$69.29 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.152 | $84.4 | +$54 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | Yes | 699.99 | $0.159 | $80.5 | -$30.5 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 300 | $0.160 | $76.5 | +$28.5 |
 Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 540 | $0.177 | $67.5 | -$27.9 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027? | Yes | 426.07 | $0.480 | $63.91 | -$140.51 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 400 | $0.160 | $54 | -$10 |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026? | Yes | 199.26 | $0.250 | $49.72 | -$0.05 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.090 | $49.69 | -$49.69 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 400 | $0.120 | $48 | $0 |
 Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.350 | $46.5 | -$58.5 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | No | 57.62 | $0.330 | $44.65 | +$25.64 |
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 227.01 | $0.237 | $42 | -$11.78 |
 Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 480 | $0.118 | $40.8 | -$15.7 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | Yes | 600 | $0.070 | $39 | -$3 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | No | 799.99 | $0.246 | $37.2 | -$159.8 |