Analytics
Yes is at 9.5%, down 55 points from 64% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
Across the 340 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 29 Oct 2026 (18 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 64% on 6 Nov 2025 and the lowest 7% on 30 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 9.5%; a month before, 11%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 46.5% on 7 Nov 2025.
It is one of 17 markets under “Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?”.
$24.18K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $16.13K, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 307 trades, $5.15K bought Yes and $2.34K bought No; the largest was a $2K buy of Yes at 88.9¢.
The largest Yes position is Jade Beacon E3EA with 2.4K shares; the largest No position is zxdfbdfgngcxv with 3.8K. Ten wallets hold 85.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 2:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 340 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 64.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 9.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| zxdfbdfgngcxv | No | 3.75K |
| Jade Beacon E3EA | Yes | 2.4K |
| Avitz33 | Yes | 1.31K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-trump-make-new-trade-deals-with-before-2027-921
5 more markets, none above 8.0%.
| Basquetipster |
| No |
| 999.99 |
| Krass | No | 693.41 |
| osgood | Yes | 659.26 |
| tinman2 | No | 450 |
| CapitanGrow | Yes | 227.27 |
| cliptic1 | Yes | 200 |
| variant1.meta | No | 150.27 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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