Analytics
Yes is at 9.2%, down 20 points from 29% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
Across the 340 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 30 Oct 2026 (20 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 54.5% on 7 Nov 2025 and the lowest 2.1% on 18 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8.9%; a month before, 9.3%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 54.5% on 7 Nov 2025.
It is one of 17 markets under “Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?”.
$18.11K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $2.28K, with a 15.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 190 trades, $658.09 bought Yes and $6.37K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Forked-Overshoot with 505 shares; the largest No position is Krass with 1.4K. Ten wallets hold 75.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 340 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 29.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 10.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Krass | No | 1.43K |
| randomWalkingShrimp | No | 567.99 |
| Forked-Overshoot | Yes | 505 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-trump-make-new-trade-deals-with-before-2027-921
5 more markets, none above 9.0%.
| Defenseless-Placement |
| No |
| 242.85 |
| roundtripped | Yes | 214.58 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 198.82 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 105.73 |
| BTCisaHarshMistress | Yes | 104.35 |
| Solosolo10 | Yes | 100.19 |
| Weighty-Highway | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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