Analytics
Yes is at 13.5%, down 15 points from 28% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
Across the 332 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 30 Oct 2026 (27 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 56% on 7 Nov 2025 and the lowest 7.5% on 27 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8.5%; a month before, 14%. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 49.5% on 14 Dec 2025.
It is one of 17 markets under “Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?”.
$306.45 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $20.25K since listing. The order book holds $2.57K, with a 9.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 325 trades, $2.81K bought Yes and $2.49K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Newshound with 1.7K shares; the largest No position is DirkDiggler67 with 954. Ten wallets hold 85.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 332 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 28.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 13.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Newshound | Yes | 1.72K |
| DirkDiggler67 | No | 954.25 |
| randomWalkingShrimp | No | 848.89 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-trump-make-new-trade-deals-with-before-2027-921
5 more markets, none above 9.0%.
| Unwelcome-Bell | Yes | 602.2 |
| Krass | No | 593.43 |
| Basquetipster | No | 253.49 |
| Devoted-Opposite | Yes | 219.53 |
| Required-Grace | Yes | 192.09 |
| djl605 | Yes | 185 |
| zxdfbdfgngcxv | No | 150.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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