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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 4K | $0.351 | $1.42K | +$16.85 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.490 | $73.5 | 28d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 838.88 |
| $0.210 |
| $479.84 |
| +$303.53 |
 Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? | Yes | 316 | $0.196 | $267.02 | +$205.08 |
 Another US debt downgrade before 2027? | No | 300 | $0.500 | $262.5 | +$112.5 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? | Yes | 382.11 | $0.507 | $248.37 | +$54.42 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 10K | $0.018 | $195 | +$18.09 |
 Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2.34K | $0.239 | $159.12 | -$400.91 |
 Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | Yes | 350 | $0.505 | $141.75 | -$34.89 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 315 | $0.630 | $137.03 | -$61.43 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat? | Yes | 357.61 | $0.520 | $116.22 | -$69.67 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 1.54K | $0.320 | $100.04 | -$392.46 |
 Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 151.95 | $0.272 | $66.1 | +$24.74 |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? | No | 70.38 | $0.269 | $52.79 | +$33.82 |
 Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat? | Yes | 58.62 | $0.386 | $41.91 | +$19.29 |
 Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 621 | $0.301 | $40.05 | -$146.98 |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 42.31 | $0.700 | $39.56 | +$9.94 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027? | Yes | 185 | $0.258 | $26.83 | -$20.92 |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 150 | $0.490 | $26.25 | -$47.25 |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 49.57 | $0.114 | $20.82 | +$15.16 |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | No | 299.99 | $0.210 | $19.5 | -$43.5 |
 Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.088 | $18 | -$69.69 |
 Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026? | No | 351.79 | $0.080 | $11.26 | -$16.89 |
| Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 8.86 | $0.550 | $8.27 | +$3.4 |
| Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 138.43 | $0.090 | $1.18 | -$11.28 |
| buy |
| 99.39 |
| $0.180 |
| $17.89 |
| Jun 9, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No | buy | 250 | $0.420 | $105 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 300 | $0.507 | $152.1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 222.85 | $0.910 | $202.79 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Billy Mawhiney be the Democratic Nominee for SD-AL?No | sell | 50 | $0.991 | $49.55 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 300 | $0.320 | $96 | May 31, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 53.3 | $0.358 | $19.09 | May 31, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 800 | $0.300 | $240 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?Yes | buy | 357.61 | $0.520 | $185.89 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?Yes | sell | 367.35 | $0.461 | $169.42 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 434.43 | $0.920 | $399.68 | May 31, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 3.09K | $0.330 | $1.02K | May 27, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | sell | 2K | $0.520 | $1.04K | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 191 | $0.390 | $74.49 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.3K | $0.364 | $472.8 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 99.99 | $0.170 | $17 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.039 | $19.5 | May 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.470 | $235 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.400 | $160 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?No | sell | 356.64 | $0.071 | $25.2 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 838.88 | $0.210 | $176.31 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?No | buy | 200 | $0.390 | $77.95 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?No | sell | 121.57 | $0.070 | $8.51 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?Yes | sell | 194.29 | $0.139 | $27.1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 16.48 | $0.250 | $4.12 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 150 | $0.380 | $57 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?No | sell | 537.08 | $0.967 | $519.36 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 889.07 | $0.304 | $270 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 599.99 | $0.447 | $267.93 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Antony Barran advance to the general election for WA-03?No | buy | 51 | $0.543 | $27.67 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Billy Mawhiney be the Democratic Nominee for SD-AL?No | buy | 50 | $0.710 | $35.5 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 141.75 | $0.360 | $51.03 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 57.06 | $0.380 | $21.68 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 216.18 | $0.652 | $141.02 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?Yes | sell | 62.19 | $0.620 | $38.56 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.620 | $43.4 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?Yes | buy | 104 | $0.474 | $49.28 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?Yes | buy | 66 | $0.190 | $12.54 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Zach Wahls be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?Yes | buy | 101 | $0.236 | $23.8 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 33.99 | $0.315 | $10.72 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.380 | $38 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.516 | $42.28 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?No | sell | 89 | $0.620 | $55.18 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?Yes | buy | 113 | $0.540 | $61.02 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?Yes | buy | 123.06 | $0.226 | $27.84 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?Yes | buy | 186.77 | $0.390 | $72.8 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?Yes | buy | 178.6 | $0.550 | $98.23 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?Yes | buy | 58.62 | $0.386 | $22.62 | Feb 15, 2026 |