Analytics
Yes is at 13.5%, down 14 points from 27.5% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
Across the 326 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 30 Oct 2026 (33 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 53% on 7 Nov 2025 and the lowest 1.1% on 18 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 12.9%; a month before, 11.9%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 53% on 7 Nov 2025.
It is one of 17 markets under “Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?”.
$149.63 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $11.35K since listing. The order book holds $2.69K, with a 7.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 209 trades, $1.3K bought Yes and $2.15K bought No.
The largest Yes position is JustinFemh with 1.4K shares; the largest No position is zxdfbdfgngcxv with 1K. Ten wallets hold 82.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 326 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 27.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 13.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JustinFemh | Yes | 1.41K |
| zxdfbdfgngcxv | No | 1.03K |
| Humongous-Veteran | Yes | 999.99 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-trump-make-new-trade-deals-with-before-2027-921
5 more markets, none above 9.0%.
| randomWalkingShrimp |
| No |
| 963.53 |
| gopfan2 | No | 944.51 |
| tnl | No | 923.1 |
| Crabsoup92 | Yes | 738.99 |
| SnowNeedMoney | Yes | 489.08 |
| Rude-Editor | Yes | 303.79 |
| Krass | No | 258.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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