Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 109.89 | $0.910 | $103.85 | +$3.85 |
China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 48.82 | $0.910 | $44.43 | 18d ago |
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| No |
| 50.82 |
| $0.879 |
| $48.03 |
| +$3.33 |
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | No | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10.64 | +$0.64 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10.28 | +$0.27 |
Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.84 | $0.922 | $10.18 | +$0.18 |
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 6.74 | $0.890 | $5.97 | -$0.03 |
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.75 | $0.890 | $5.47 | +$0.35 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5.12 | +$0.12 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5.06 | +$0.06 |
US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 6.14 | $0.815 | $4.94 | -$0.06 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 3.45 | $0.870 | $3.19 | +$0.19 |
US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 3.45 | $0.870 | $3.12 | +$0.12 |
| sell |
| 6.09 |
| $0.953 |
| $5.8 |
| 18d ago |
US x China Military clash before 2027?No | sell | 54.12 | $0.956 | $51.74 | 18d ago |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | sell | 7.04 | $0.800 | $5.63 | 18d ago |
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?No | sell | 3.12 | $0.967 | $3.02 | 18d ago |
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 6.74 | $0.890 | $6 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 87.91 | $0.910 | $80 | Jun 29, 2026 |
US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Trump out as President by June 30?No | sell | 10.13 | $0.993 | $10.06 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 27.47 | $0.910 | $25 | Jun 15, 2026 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETUp | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETUp | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETUp | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETUp | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETDown | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETDown | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETDown | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETDown | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETUp | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETUp | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.35 | $0.935 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETUp | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 10.13 | $0.987 | $10 | May 18, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ETUp | sell | 5 | $0.997 | $4.99 | May 18, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | May 18, 2026 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.915 | $4.58 | May 18, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETUp | buy | 35 | $0.310 | $10.85 | May 18, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.430 | $4.3 | May 18, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | May 18, 2026 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.914 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.960 | $3 | May 7, 2026 |
US strike on Mexico by December 31?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.870 | $3 | May 7, 2026 |
US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.840 | $3 | May 7, 2026 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.870 | $3 | May 7, 2026 |
Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 230.68 | $0.860 | $198.38 | May 7, 2026 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 6.19 | $0.790 | $4.89 | Apr 2, 2026 |