Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 S&P 500 all time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 63.83 |
| $0.470 |
| $30 |
| Dec 2, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?No | buy | 15.74 | $0.953 | $15 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.540 | $15 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 26.21 | $0.954 | $25 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 59.69 | $0.670 | $39.99 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 30-year mortgage rate below 6% by December 31?No | sell | 46.51 | $0.860 | $40 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 25.58 | $0.670 | $17.14 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | sell | 25.75 | $0.650 | $16.74 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 US announces withdrawal from WTO in 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by November 30?No | sell | 5.31 | $0.956 | $5.08 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?No | sell | 6.66 | $0.770 | $5.13 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | buy | 25.76 | $0.660 | $17 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 22.73 | $0.660 | $15 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?No | sell | 7.14 | $0.990 | $7.07 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?No | sell | 5.61 | $0.996 | $5.59 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberNo | sell | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberNo | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | sell | 10.86 | $0.946 | $10.27 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by November 30?No | sell | 11.23 | $0.920 | $10.33 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| US forces in Venezuela by November 30?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 5?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| 30-year mortgage rate below 6% by December 31?No | buy | 46.51 | $0.430 | $20 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by November 30?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 29.45 | $0.679 | $20 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.700 | $20 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-25?Yes | buy | 10.98 | $0.820 | $9 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-25?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Oct 25, 2025 |